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dc-draw-shotmix

No edge

dixon_coles · objective value_roi · learning rolling

← Registry
< 2021-06-01
Train
2021-06-01 → 2023-12-31
Validation
2024-01-01 → 2026-07-01
Test
%{rho: -0.13, shot_mix: 0.0, draw_boost_k: 1.0, draw_even: 1.0}
Params

Validation (selection)

Bets
68
Value ROI
+29.9% (-14.9%…+75.6%)
Bankroll growth
+47.3%
Max drawdown
23.0%
RPS
0.1846
CLV vs closing
-0.3% (-1.4%…+0.7%)

Test (sealed — the verdict)

Bets
76
Value ROI
+77.3% (+31.8%…+121.1%)
Bankroll growth
+293.9%
Max drawdown
12.6%
RPS
0.1825
CLV vs closing
-1.0% (-1.9%…-0.2%)

Test bankroll over time

Validation search

Objective Params
★ -14.9% %{rho: -0.13, shot_mix: 0.0, draw_boost_k: 1.0, draw_even: 1.0}
-15.3% %{rho: -0.13, shot_mix: 0.3, draw_boost_k: 1.0, draw_even: 1.0}